Observed arrival · 2026-08-20
MUHTEMEL’s 100,000 Süper Lig Seasons
A Turkish football probability tool that estimates each Süper Lig team’s chances of winning the title, finishing in the top four, or being relegated.
Why it surfaced
MUHTEMEL combines official match results, a time-weighted Dixon–Coles score model, and 100,000 Monte Carlo season simulations. It also explains what it does not use—language-model predictions, manually entered team ratings, or betting odds—making the percentages unusually inspectable.
A Turkish football probability tool that estimates each Süper Lig team’s chances of winning the title, finishing in the top four, or being relegated.
Observed signals
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Editorial observations of this landing page, not a rating.
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