Observed arrival · 2026-08-31
The Bloc Wants to Model the Room
The Bloc forecasts how multi-actor decisions resolve, then identifies which participant could move the outcome.
Field notes
The stated workflow converts public institutional records into actor-level inputs: position is taken from stated material, while salience and clout are inferred from observed effort and influence. The proposed solver returns outcome distributions and coalition structures rather than a single prediction, with each parameter linked to its documentary source. The site also describes timestamped calls on live decisions, intended to remain falsifiable after the decision resolves.
Observed signals
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