Observed arrival · 2026-09-03
Anteproof Keeps Receipts on AI and Developer Forecasts
A public forecasting system that assigns probabilities to questions about packages, repositories, companies, hiring, and fundraising, then scores the calls after outcomes arrive.
Field notes
Anteproof frames forecasting as an auditable log rather than a prediction feed: questions are issued with probabilities and deadlines, retained in issue order, and scored when resolved. Its stated evaluation includes Brier skill, reliability diagrams, question-family breakdowns, and bias tests. The homepage also says the archive is anchored daily to github.com/anteproof/log, while the latest forecast and recent record were still loading in the captured extract.
Observed signals
Read the marks
Editorial observations of this landing page, not a rating.
One card from the complete issue