OutagePredictions — Con Edison Weather Risk

Field notes

The model uses hourly public forecasts from eight representative points and combines wind, rain, snowfall, and atmospheric instability into a hazard score. It then translates that score into an interruption-rate estimate for tracked customers, displaying regional rankings, uncertainty ranges, peak windows, and weather drivers. Inputs are identified as Open-Meteo forecast aggregation and National Weather Service alerts, with refreshes every five minutes; the page also links to observed Con Edison outages for comparison.