Observed arrival · 2026-09-07

Bayescraft: A Bayesian Experiment Workbench

bayescraft.com Observed source

Editorial interest 78/100 Selection signal · not a rating of the site

An interactive calculator for updating success-rate estimates with Beta priors and forecasting future trial outcomes.

Landing page captured for the 2026-09-07 issue.

Field notes

Bayescraft organizes binary-outcome analysis around successes and failures, selectable Beta priors, and a full-pipeline control. Its interface exposes both probability-rate and log-odds views, then offers predictive settings for 1 to 50 future trials alongside HDI controls and dual PMF layouts. Device-local state management and JSON import/export make the workbench useful for preserving or exchanging configurations.

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○OpenPublic substance visible

✦PrettyNotable craft visible

●ProPolished or operationally mature

◎NicheUnusually specific use

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