Observed arrival · 2026-09-17
Oil Through Hormuz, With the Uncertainty Left In
A public model estimates daily oil flow through the Strait of Hormuz and publishes the range it can actually support.
Field notes
The model combines public evidence with a quarterly record covering crude, condensate, and petroleum products, then carries that calibration forward to the current day. Its 17 September 2026 estimate is 4.9 million barrels per day, but the stated working range spans 1.5 to 6.9 million because the site considers the strait disrupted. The project links its sources, methodology, terms, and repository, and says later published figures are used to score the estimates.
Observed signals
Read the marks
Editorial observations of this landing page, not a rating.
One card from the complete issue