Observed arrival · 2026-09-21
Feargate, the AI claims archive
An evidence archive that tracks prominent AI predictions about jobs, elections, hacking, extinction, and release safety against later outcomes.
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- Readers auditing AI predictions and public technology claims
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- The archive records 59 claims across eight subjects and nine named labs, with 20.9 years of combined delay across false predictions.
Field notes
The homepage divides its archive into cards and a timeline, then narrows the record by subject or laboratory. Its visible taxonomy covers eight subjects, including AGI timelines, rogue AI tests, bio and weapons, and release safety. The page reports 59 claims in total, with Anthropic and OpenAI accounting for 20 and 19 respectively. Sample records preserve the speaker, quotation, date, deadline status, and Feargate's account of the resulting reality.
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One card from the complete issue