Observed arrival · 2026-09-23
Forecasting Upside draws the good half of the future
An editorial project traces how real events might lead to beneficial outcomes, while keeping possible harms and the status quo in view.
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✦Pretty
●Pro
◎Niche
◉Human
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- For
- Readers looking for hopeful, evidence-linked futures
- Worth noticing
- Its chart treats the status quo as a baseline and leaves potential harm visible below it.
Field notes
The site's chart places the status quo on a baseline, with possible benefits above it and harms below. Its explanation distinguishes a spreading range of futures from a single-point forecast, and says pale green is not a probability claim. The methodology section cites a 1996 Bank of England inflation chart, Britton, Fisher & Whitley (1998), and scenario-planning work by Pierre Wack and Peter Schwartz.
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Editorial observations of this landing page, not a rating.
○OpenPublic substance visible
✦PrettyNotable craft visible
●ProPolished or operationally mature
◎NicheUnusually specific use
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