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Card 272 of 9752026-09-23 issue

Observed arrival · 2026-09-23

Forecasting Upside draws the good half of the future

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Editorial interest 78/100 Selection signal · not a rating of the site

An editorial project traces how real events might lead to beneficial outcomes, while keeping possible harms and the status quo in view.

Landing page captured for the 2026-09-23 issue.
For
Readers looking for hopeful, evidence-linked futures
Worth noticing
Its chart treats the status quo as a baseline and leaves potential harm visible below it.

Field notes

The site's chart places the status quo on a baseline, with possible benefits above it and harms below. Its explanation distinguishes a spreading range of futures from a single-point forecast, and says pale green is not a probability claim. The methodology section cites a 1996 Bank of England inflation chart, Britton, Fisher & Whitley (1998), and scenario-planning work by Pierre Wack and Peter Schwartz.

Observed signals

Read the marks

Editorial observations of this landing page, not a rating.

OpenPublic substance visible
PrettyNotable craft visible
ProPolished or operationally mature
NicheUnusually specific use

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Landing page observed 2026-09-23. The live site may have changed.