Observed arrival · 2026-09-25
A daily Aegean tension index
A dated 0–100 assessment of tensions involving Cyprus, Greece and Türkiye, drawing on open-source indicators across the Aegean and Eastern Mediterranean.
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- The 26 September entry separates military, diplomatic, economic/informational, and EW/SIGINT scores; EW/SIGINT is 3/10.
Field notes
Each dated entry combines a short regional update with category-level scores and links to reporting from outlets including Cyprus Mail, C4Defence, and Turkish Minute. On 26 September, the military-posture score was 5/10 and EW/SIGINT was 3/10; the text says no new military incidents or electronic-interference reports were recorded. The methodology note frames the index as relative change against recent history, not a probability of conflict.
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