Observed arrival · 2026-09-27
Humanity Odds: an extinction-risk index
A model-based index presenting estimated human-extinction probabilities by scenario through 2100; the homepage currently says the latest index is loading and the app is coming soon.
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◉Human
⚑Risk
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- For
- Readers tracking existential-risk forecasts
- Worth noticing
- The page names three baseline sources and says daily news analysis moves each scenario only within a fixed range.
Field notes
The page separates its About, Baseline sources, and Data sources sections, and includes imprint and privacy links. It distinguishes speculative scenarios, which it says use editorial estimates, from the named baseline sources. A latest-snapshot JSON link is present, but no scenario-level values appear in the captured text.
Observed signals
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Editorial observations of this landing page, not a rating.
○OpenPublic substance visible
◎NicheUnusually specific use
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