Observed arrival · 2026-10-07
Trend Observatory asks whether progress is outpacing its old pace
An open atlas compares more than a thousand measures of human progress with their historical trends, including a subset judged potentially exposed to AI.
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- Readers tracking progress measures and AI-related claims
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- Its “ahead of trend” threshold is more than two units of a measure’s normal noise; earlier-period tests estimate how often that happens by chance.
Field notes
The comparison uses each measure’s own historical variability, rather than one shared unit for unlike indicators. The page says the AI-exposure classifications were judgments by the research agents who collected the trends, and advises readers to check linked sources before citing figures. Its numbers are described as a working draft.
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