Observed arrival · 2026-10-07
The 115 Counterfactual
An interactive model replays Premier League seasons from 2009–10 onward under two counterfactuals for Manchester City’s funding.
- For
- Football fans interested in Premier League counterfactuals
- Worth noticing
- It offers two scenarios: removing the funding entirely, or treating it as declared owner investment under spending limits.
Field notes
Readers can switch between a no-money scenario, which holds everything else about City as it happened, and a declared-honestly scenario that applies UEFA and Premier League loss limits while estimating unpublished figures. Advanced controls vary the money-to-points model, revenue effects, sponsor sensitivity and squad-contract assumptions; the page also compares affected clubs and European outcomes, and identifies some 2025–27 figures as based on FY2025 accounts.
Observed signals
Read the marks
Editorial observations of this landing page, not a rating.
One card from the complete issue