Observed arrival · 2026-10-09
Vane forecasts federal audit findings
Vane says it uses federal audit data to estimate which audited organizations are likely to receive findings in a future audit.
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- Organizations subject to federal audits
- Worth noticing
- The site reports a four-year backtest, with the high-risk group receiving findings 46% of the time; forecasts may be wrong.
Field notes
Vane says it scores school districts, cities, and nonprofits using federal audit data, with forecasts based on audits the model had not previously seen. Its reported test separated a high-risk group with findings in 46% of cases from 18% among the rest, and says it beat standard benchmarks in all four tested years. The page frames forecasts as fallible estimates, not compliance determinations or allegations.
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