Observed arrival · 2026-10-09
Who Cried AGI? A timeline of AI predictions
An interactive timeline collects sourced claims about when artificial general intelligence and superintelligence might arrive.
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- Readers tracking AI prediction history
- Worth noticing
- It distinguishes the 1955 naming of artificial intelligence from claims that human-level AI already existed.
Field notes
The timeline pairs dated claims with short summaries, attribution, and a year scale offering close-up, wider, and all-years views. Its visible early entries distinguish different kinds of evidence: Alan Turing’s 1952 estimate is summarized as “not before 2052,” while the 1955 Dartmouth proposal is treated as a documented naming event rather than a declaration that human-level AI existed. Search and claim submission are also exposed in the navigation.
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