Observed arrival · 2026-10-10
A Plan Is Not a Path
An essay and interactive study test whether an LLM’s year-long funding plans can actually pay bills when money arrives on specific dates.
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- Readers studying LLM planning and cash-flow feasibility
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- At RMB 50,000 starting cash, displayed Qwen3.5-4B results show 21 of 24 feasibility promises but zero completed plans.
Field notes
The author says a personal experience involving scholarship funding and family medical costs motivated the question, but explicitly separates that experience from the synthetic experiment. In the test, the task spans 900 days, and the model must plan around dated notices, prerequisites, costs, and restricted payment routes. The page also links to saved presentation data, Python executor and reference-search materials, and downloadable figures.
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