Observed arrival · 2026-10-11

Curve and Bound keeps an audit trail for AI-horizon claims

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Editorial interest 72/100 Selection signal · not a rating of the site

A structured ledger examines software-horizon estimates, their uncertainty, and the limits of the measurements behind them.

Landing page captured for the 2026-10-11 issue.

For: Readers tracking AI capability forecasts
Worth noticing: It distinguishes the point estimate from a 5–61-hour interval and flags the 16-hour measurement limit.

Field notes

The visible entry separates measured results from extrapolation and argument, with source references attached to the reported figures. It also notes that the underlying time-horizon page is no longer actively updated, citing a 8 September 2026 note and an update-log retrieval dated 9 October 2026. Navigation labels point to additional sections, but their contents are not visible in the extracted text.

Observed signals

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Editorial observations of this landing page, not a rating.

○OpenPublic substance visible

✦PrettyNotable craft visible

◎NicheUnusually specific use

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