Observed arrival · 2026-10-13
Menelith models fleet-wide satellite catastrophe risk
Menelith presents a prototype underwriting model for estimating losses that shared events could cause across a satellite fleet.
- For
- Satellite insurers, brokers, and fleet operators
- Worth noticing
- A prototype example uses 50 orbital compute platforms; the page labels its loss figures illustrative.
Field notes
The page divides the model into shared-event simulation, tail-loss pricing, and an assumptions-visible report. Named event classes include launch failures, debris, geomagnetic storms, and hardware faults; outputs include expected loss, a 1-in-200 loss, and layer pricing. The worked example is a prototype report for 50 orbital compute platforms, while the 2.9× comparison uses an example book of 1,000 satellites. The site says its storm model is tested against real satellite losses it was not fitted to.
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