Observed arrival · 2026-10-13
NeuroPriors puts clinical catalysts on the probability record
A neurologist plans to publish dated probability forecasts on neuroimmunology and CNS genetic-medicine events, then score them publicly.
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- Readers tracking neuroimmunology and CNS genetic-medicine catalysts
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- The site says each published prior will be archived on the Wayback Machine with a SHA-256 hash of its text.
Field notes
The stated protocol fixes the question, resolution source, delay rule, and void rule before an event occurs. It also says amendments will remain visible beneath the original forecast and receive separate scores; the working record itself is described as private, while its hash is to be published.
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