Observed arrival · 2026-10-18
Who Gets the Future Right?
A public scorecard tracks predictions by prominent figures, with categories, outcomes, and accuracy rates.
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✦Pretty
●Pro
◎Niche
◉Human
⚑Risk
ƒJS
- For
- Readers comparing public forecasts with eventual outcomes
- Worth noticing
- Late and partial calls count for half-credit; pending predictions are excluded from accuracy.
Field notes
The index groups forecasters into roles such as market strategist, policymaker, and AI researcher, and shows row-level totals alongside accuracy percentages. Its scoring rules distinguish late and partial calls from accurate or wrong ones, while leaving pending predictions out of the calculation. The extracted homepage claims that individual records include exact wording and dates, though those records and their sourcing are not visible in the supplied sample.
Observed signals
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Editorial observations of this landing page, not a rating.
○OpenPublic substance visible
✦PrettyNotable craft visible
◎NicheUnusually specific use
◉HumanPersonal, local, civic, or handmade
One card from the complete issue