Observed arrival · 2026-10-19
Predicta Bot 9000 puts its 2028 election model on the record
An interactive 2028 presidential forecast blends state-level history, polls, prediction markets, and race ratings, then simulates Electoral College outcomes.
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- Readers tracking the 2028 U.S. presidential race
- Worth noticing
- State partisan lean weights 2024 results at 60%, 2020 at 30%, and 2016 at 10%; Maine and Nebraska districts are modeled separately.
Field notes
State partisan lean uses 2024 results at 60%, 2020 at 30%, and 2016 at 10%; Maine and Nebraska congressional districts are modeled separately. The history input averages the last three national margins and adds a damped adjustment tied to presidential approval. The weight explorer is described as rerunning 5,000 simulations in-browser, with changes neither saved nor applied to the published forecast.
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