Observed arrival · 2026-10-19
The Quiet Galaxy keeps score of the Fermi paradox
A public explainer and tracker that models the Fermi paradox with ranges from the Drake Equation, organizes proposed explanations, and logs relevant research.
- For
- Readers exploring the Fermi paradox and astrobiology
- Worth noticing
- The page reports five trillion civilizations at the optimistic extreme and roughly one in 10^67 at the pessimistic extreme.
Field notes
Each factor is presented as a published-estimate range, with the life-origin term described as spanning fifty orders of magnitude. The page gives an all-optimistic result of five trillion detectable civilizations and an all-pessimistic result of roughly one in 10^67, underscoring how much the answer depends on assumptions. Its latest stated check read 39 records and found no estimate-moving update; the preprint listing was not checked.
Observed signals
Read the marks
Editorial observations of this landing page, not a rating.
One card from the complete issue