Observed arrival · 2026-10-24

CongressCast turns the 2026 midterms into a voter-swarm simulation

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Editorial interest 82/100 Selection signal · not a rating of the site

An interactive forecast of the 2026 U.S. midterms, pairing a county-level voter simulation with a 40,000-run Monte Carlo election simulator.

Landing page captured for the 2026-10-24 issue.

For: U.S. election watchers and forecast modelers
Worth noticing: The page pairs 6,000 synthetic county voter agents with a separate 40,000-run Monte Carlo simulator.

Field notes

The homepage displays model projections of about 230 Democratic House seats and 51 Democratic Senate seats, alongside majority probabilities; these are the site's forecasts, not independently verified outcomes. It attributes historical returns to sources including MEDSL, VEST, and the Harvard Election Data Archive, and links to a companion archive for equations, backtests, and data.

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●ProPolished or operationally mature

◎NicheUnusually specific use

◉HumanPersonal, local, civic, or handmade

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