Observed arrival · 2026-10-24
czujka’s conflict-exposure index
czujka presents a conflict-exposure index built from eight weighted indicators and 26 public sources, with coverage described across Poland, the Baltic states, Finland, Romania, and Moldova.
- For
- Analysts, journalists, and people tracking regional risk
- Worth noticing
- Travel advisories account for 34% of the index; media intensity is assigned zero weight.
Field notes
The CEI assigns fixed weights to eight inputs, including travel advisories, armed clashes, defense communications, front-line distance, currency movements, military air traffic, and internet stability. The site says travel advisories carry 34% of the total and are the only component in an 11-year backtest; it also discloses an April 2021 false alarm, gives media intensity zero weight, and cautions that the measure has no predictive horizon.
Observed signals
Read the marks
Editorial observations of this landing page, not a rating.
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