Observed arrival · 2026-10-28
Almanac puts the weather-market thermometer on the record
Live station readings, market prices, settlement rules, and past results for Kalshi and Polymarket daily temperature markets.
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- For
- People following daily temperature markets
- Worth noticing
- The New York example identifies aviationweather.gov as its reading source and labels Kalshi prices as 30 minutes late.
Field notes
The explainer says each exchange selects a weather station for a city, and that the two exchanges may not use the same one. Its sample view distinguishes hourly observations from the high recorded so far and labels Kalshi’s prices as delayed by 30 minutes. A visible example also gives the market’s closing time, while the site links to settlement explanations and prior results.
Observed signals
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Editorial observations of this landing page, not a rating.
○OpenPublic substance visible
✦PrettyNotable craft visible
◎NicheUnusually specific use
ƒJavaScriptBrowser-side code central
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