Observed arrival · 2026-11-06
The Markov Pitch asks whether T20 is random—one ball at a time
An interactive cricket-statistics project uses IPL match data to explore probability models and a chase predictor.
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- Cricket fans exploring match probabilities
- Worth noticing
- The page tests whether wicket risk rises after consecutive dot balls, rather than treating commentator talk about pressure as settled fact.
Field notes
The project lays out five statistical questions, including whether runs per over are covariance stationary and whether consecutive-ball outcomes follow a Markov chain. Its pressure test asks whether wicket probability increases after runs of dot balls; a separate section compares boundary counts with independent-binomial and Markov-dependent models. The page also describes an innings simulator, though the extracted text does not show its results.
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○OpenPublic substance visible
✦PrettyNotable craft visible
●ProPolished or operationally mature
◎NicheUnusually specific use
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