Observed arrival · 2026-11-07
A fare-enforcement model with its assumptions exposed
An interactive model lets visitors test how NYC bus fare enforcement might affect evasion rates, notices, recovered fares, and team costs.
- For
- NYC transit-policy readers and fare-enforcement analysts
- Worth noticing
- It separates fixed MTA estimates from adjustable assumptions and notes that the MTA has published nothing on lasting spillover.
Field notes
The controls distinguish reported inputs from scenario choices: the latest quarterly bus-evasion estimate is fixed, while team size, deployment, field time, deterrence, and spillover can be changed. The page gives several concrete baselines, including 78% deployment availability and a five-minute best-case notice-writing time. It also cautions that lasting spillover has not been published by the MTA, leaving that effect for visitors to model rather than presenting it as established.
Observed signals
Read the marks
Editorial observations of this landing page, not a rating.
One card from the complete issue