Observed arrival · 2026-11-11
Matchup DNA locks its tennis forecasts before the first serve
A public ATP and WTA forecasting site that rates players and publishes pre-match win probabilities.
○Open
⊠Login
$Paid
†Ads
✦Pretty
●Pro
◎Niche
◉Human
⚑Risk
ƒJS
- For
- Tennis followers comparing match probabilities
- Worth noticing
- Its own comparison says the betting market scores better: 0.590 versus 0.613 log loss.
Field notes
The described model updates player Elo ratings after results, with upsets moving ratings more, then adds ranking, rest, form, and serve as match context. The homepage reports a history exceeding 360,000 matches and links to an archive of timestamped forecasts. It also names several data sources and notes that Jeff Sackmann's data is used under CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Observed signals
Read the marks
Editorial observations of this landing page, not a rating.
○OpenPublic substance visible
✦PrettyNotable craft visible
●ProPolished or operationally mature
◎NicheUnusually specific use
ƒJavaScriptBrowser-side code central
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