Observed arrival · 2026-11-11
The Hoop Ledger keeps score on its NBA forecasts
An independent NBA forecasting project publishes projected scores and win probabilities, then grades each forecast against the final result.
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- For
- NBA fans tracking forecasts and model performance
- Worth noticing
- A spiral plots 5,402 games from 2022–23 onward; hovering reveals the season.
Field notes
Daily game entries pair final scores with each team’s win probability, projected score, and the model’s chosen winner. A spiral visualization arranges the 5,402-game history from 2022–23 through 2026–27, with a season revealed on hover. The homepage reports 3,519 correct picks and 1,883 misses; separate sections organize team records, surprising results, performance, and research into which pre-game numbers line up with wins.
Observed signals
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Editorial observations of this landing page, not a rating.
○OpenPublic substance visible
✦PrettyNotable craft visible
●ProPolished or operationally mature
◎NicheUnusually specific use
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