Observed arrival · 2026-11-12
If Claude Was King
A recurring experiment asks Claude to plan a year of world rule, then makes the model’s real-world forecasts available for later scorekeeping.
- For
- Readers tracking AI judgment and forecast accuracy
- Worth noticing
- The first edition reports 34 searches and 66 pages read; it also labels outcomes under the imagined plan as uncheckable.
Field notes
The first edition's page says the model made 34 searches and read 66 pages before answering. It organizes the proposal into nine decrees, including costs and the strongest objection to each, then lists ten forecasts with ranges and reasoning. The method says every figure needs a source or an unverified label, and the answer is withheld if it fails a format check twice. The site explicitly treats outcomes under the imagined plan as uncheckable.
Observed signals
Read the marks
Editorial observations of this landing page, not a rating.
One card from the complete issue