Observed arrival · 2026-09-08
Epistemic Physics: Beliefs Are Relativistic
An interactive field guide connecting Bayesian belief updates, natural selection, and Einsteinian velocity addition through probability, odds, and rapidity.
Field notes
The site uses the transformation vE = 2p − 1 to place probability on a −1 to +1 velocity-like scale, then introduces rapidity as half the log odds so evidence multiplication becomes addition. Its central worked example starts at 75% with a 3:1 ratio and reaches 90% across Bayesian belief, population frequency, and velocity addition. The interactive also exposes support and opposition counts, a Jeffreys prior of n₀ = 1, and six-step navigation through the example.
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