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Card 278 of 9832026-09-12 issue

Observed arrival · 2026-09-12

Forecast Drought: Reading the World at the Dry End

forecastdrought.com Observed source
Editorial interest 86/100 Selection signal · not a rating of the site

A global ten-day rainfall explorer that emphasizes where precipitation is not arriving, using ECMWF HRES and AIFS forecasts.

Landing page captured for the 2026-09-12 issue.

Field notes

Forecast Drought compares ECMWF's HRES physical model with AIFS, its machine-learning counterpart, across ten days and a 0.25° global grid. The site directs readers to regional frames and named agricultural centres, then exposes rainfall at the pixel level. Its colour system is fixed to absolute millimetres and concentrates six bands within 25 mm, preserving distinctions such as 5 mm versus 20 mm over a ten-day period. Planned additions include climatology comparisons, soil moisture, evaporative demand, and standardized drought indices.

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NicheUnusually specific use

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forecastdrought.com

Landing page observed 2026-09-12. The live site may have changed.