Observed arrival · 2026-09-12
Forecast Drought: Reading the World at the Dry End
A global ten-day rainfall explorer that emphasizes where precipitation is not arriving, using ECMWF HRES and AIFS forecasts.
Field notes
Forecast Drought compares ECMWF's HRES physical model with AIFS, its machine-learning counterpart, across ten days and a 0.25° global grid. The site directs readers to regional frames and named agricultural centres, then exposes rainfall at the pixel level. Its colour system is fixed to absolute millimetres and concentrates six bands within 25 mm, preserving distinctions such as 5 mm versus 20 mm over a ten-day period. Planned additions include climatology comparisons, soil moisture, evaporative demand, and standardized drought indices.
Observed signals
Read the marks
Editorial observations of this landing page, not a rating.
One card from the complete issue