Observed arrival · 2026-10-01
Hidden AGI Watch’s public forecast dashboard
A daily, sourced reading of four hypotheses about undisclosed advanced AI, with probability forecasts through 2035 and a public scorecard.
- For
- Readers tracking claims of undisclosed advanced AI
- Worth noticing
- The alarm follows published tripwires, not the site's probability estimates; its resource indicators see only reported activity.
Field notes
The project separates its probability estimates from its alarm system: published triggers set the alarm, while gauges and tripwires inform the readings. Its escape watch focuses on reported resource chokepoints—including chips, power, money and accounts—and the page cautions that these indicators see only what someone reports. The forecast joins estimates for now, 2030 and 2035; its shaded band is described as a judgment range rather than a statistical interval.
Observed signals
Read the marks
Editorial observations of this landing page, not a rating.
One card from the complete issue