Observed arrival · 2026-10-05
A public forecast ledger for Iran’s stability
Iran Stability Monitor publishes timestamped assessments, forecasts, and early-warning indicators about Iran’s stability and regional scenarios.
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✦Pretty
●Pro
◎Niche
◉Human
⚑Risk
ƒJS
- For
- Readers tracking Iranian political and regional risk
- Worth noticing
- It distinguishes pathway-state colors from event probabilities and says Protocol v1 lacks a substantial resolved track record.
Field notes
The page divides its material into current conditions, dated forecasts, threshold chains, revision drivers, and an evidence ledger. It describes gray as insufficient public evidence, rather than a reassuring assessment, and separates new events from newly incorporated evidence, reassessment, and correction. The homepage also identifies two original indicators: an Iran–China oil-credit haircut and the sustainability of Iran-to-Houthi support.
Observed signals
Read the marks
Editorial observations of this landing page, not a rating.
○OpenPublic substance visible
✦PrettyNotable craft visible
●ProPolished or operationally mature
◎NicheUnusually specific use
◉HumanPersonal, local, civic, or handmade
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