Observed arrival · 2026-10-22
Parrot Markets counts the words behind prediction markets
The site provides transcript counts, word histories and calibrated probabilities for mention markets on Kalshi and Polymarket, with data available through exports and developer-facing interfaces.
- For
- Prediction-market researchers and data-consuming AI agents
- Worth noticing
- Displayed exchange prices are described as mid-prices and may be about 20 minutes old; the page says they are not advice.
Field notes
The page exposes an upcoming-events table with word-level histories across earnings calls and other scheduled events, plus probabilities for the next appearance on earnings entries. It reports coverage of 1,135 people, companies and shows, 5,415 events, 91,050 settled word markets and 11,446 transcripts. Rows can be copied or downloaded as CSV, Markdown, JSON or TSV, with API and MCP access also surfaced; displayed market prices may be about 20 minutes old.
Observed signals
Read the marks
Editorial observations of this landing page, not a rating.
One card from the complete issue